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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 30 No. 4 2006

A comprehensive analysis of the short-term interest-rate dynamics

Turan G. Bali; Liuren Wu

Baruch College

Abstract

This paper provides a comprehensive analysis of the short-term interest-rate dynamics based on three different data sets and two flexible parametric specifications. The significance of nonlinearity in the short-rate drift declines with increasing maturity for the interest-rate series used in the study. Using a flexible diffusion specification and incorporating GARCH volatility and non-normal innovation reduce the need for a nonlinear drift specification. Finally, the nonlinear drift specification performs better than the linear drift specification only when the short-term interest-rate levels reach historical highs.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2005.05.003
Volume
30
Issue
4
Pages
1269-1290
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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