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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 69 2016

Structure and estimation of Lévy subordinated hierarchical Archimedean copulas (LSHAC): Theory and empirical tests

Wenjun Zhu1; Chou-Wen Wang2,3; Ken Seng Tan4

1 Nankai University · 2 National Kaohsiung First University of Science and Technology · 3 National Chengchi University · 4 University of Waterloo

Abstract

Lévy subordinated hierarchical Archimedean copulas (LSHAC) are flexible models in high dimensional modeling. However, there is limited literature discussing their applications, largely due to the challenges in estimating their structures and their parameters. In this paper, we propose a three-stage estimation procedure to determine the hierarchical structure and the parameters of a LSHAC. This is the first paper to empirically examine the modeling performances of LSHAC models using exchange traded funds. Simulation study demonstrates the reliability and robustness of the proposed estimation method in determining the optimal structure. Empirical analysis further shows that, compared to elliptical copulas, LSHACs have better fitting abilities as well as more accurate out-of-sample Value-at-Risk estimates with less parameters. In addition, from a financial risk management point of view, the LSHACs have the advantage of being very flexible in modeling the asymmetric tail dependence, providing more conservative estimations of the probabilities of extreme downward co-movements in the financial market.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2016.01.011
Volume
69
Pages
20-36
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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