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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 133 2021

China's no-bailout reform: Impact on bond yields and rating standards

Guiqing Mo1; Zhi Gao2; Lei Zhou3

1 Shanghai Lixin University of Accounting and Finance · 2 Anhui University of Finance and Economics · 3 Northern Illinois University

Abstract

The Chinese government broke its long-standing practice of bond bailouts in March 2014. The number and value of bond defaults increased substantially in the following years. We investigate bond defaults in China from 2014 to 2019 and examine the impact of no-bailout reform. We find significantly higher yield spreads on lower-rated bonds over AAA bonds after the policy change. Furthermore, we document much lower default rates for SOE bonds than non-SOE bonds and an increased funding advantage of SOEs after March 2014. Surprisingly, credit rating agencies loosened rating standards in response to the policy change, suggesting their caving into issuer demands for higher ratings.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106282
Volume
133
Pages
106282
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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