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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 29 No. 7 2005

The effects of war risk on US financial markets

Roberto Rigobon; Brian Sack1

1 Council of Economic Advisers

open access

Abstract

This paper measures the effects of the risks associated with the war in Iraq on various US financial variables using a heteroskedasticity-based estimation technique. The results indicate that increases in war risk caused declines in Treasury yields and equity prices, a widening of lower-grade corporate spreads, a fall in the dollar, and a rise in oil prices. This “war risk” factor accounted for a considerable portion of the variances of these financial variables over the three months leading up to the arrival of coalition forces in central Baghdad.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2004.06.040
Volume
29
Issue
7
Pages
1769-1789
Language
en
Sources
crossref openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib

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