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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 48 2014

Exploiting commodity momentum along the futures curves

Wilma de Groot; Dennis Karstanje1,2; Weili Zhou3,4

1 Tinbergen Institute · 2 Erasmus University Rotterdam · 3 Robeco Quantitative Strategies, The Netherlands · 4 Robeco Asset Management

open access

Abstract

This study examines novel momentum strategies in commodities futures markets that incorporate term-structure information. We show that momentum strategies that invest in contracts on the futures curve with the largest expected roll-yield or the strongest momentum earn significantly higher risk-adjusted returns than a traditional momentum strategy, which only invests in the nearest contracts. Moreover, when incorporating conservative transaction costs we observe that our low-turnover momentum strategy more than doubles the net return compared to a traditional momentum strategy.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.08.008
Volume
48
Pages
79-93
Language
en
Sources
crossref openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib

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