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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 145 2022

Testing Factor Models in the Cross-Section

Fabian Hollstein1; Marcel Prokopczuk2,3,4

1 Saarland University · 2 Leibniz University Hannover · 3 ICMA Centre · 4 University of Reading

Abstract

The standard full-sample time-series asset pricing test suffers from poor statistical properties, look-ahead bias, constant-beta assumptions, and rejects models when average factor returns deviate from risk premia. We therefore confront prominent equity pricing models with the classical Fama and MacBeth (1973) cross-sectional test. For all models, we uncover three main findings: (i) the intercept coefficients are economically large and highly statistically significant; (ii) cross-sectional factor risk premium estimates are generally far below the average factor excess returns; and (iii) they are usually not statistically significant. Overall, all new factor models are inconsistent with no-arbitrage pricing and cannot accurately explain the cross-section of stock returns.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106626
Volume
145
Pages
106626
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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