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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 21 No. 7 1997

Purchasing power parity: Modeling and testing mean reversion

Lawrence G. Goldberg1; Thomas F. Gosnell2; John Okunev3

1 University of Miami · 2 Oklahoma State University · 3 Lend Lease Investment Management, Sydney, Australia

open access

Abstract

A model of mean reversion of exchange rates to purchasing power parity is developed and tested where exchange rates are assumed to follow a mean reverting elastic random walk toward a stochastic PPP rate. The model recognizes the possibility that mean reversion towards PPP may be nonlinear which allows greater flexibility in the adjustment process. Regression equations consistent with the theoretical model are derived. The model is tested using long- and short-term data for six countries. While the results are generally consistent with the findings of previous studies, evidence is presented which demonstrates that the mean reversion process is not linear for some countries.

DOI
10.1016/s0378-4266(97)00009-5
Volume
21
Issue
7
Pages
949-966
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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