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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 89 2018

Market states, sentiment, and momentum in the corporate bond market

Lifang Li; Valentina Galvani

University of Alberta

Abstract

We show that momentum profits for corporate bonds depend on the state of the market (UP/DOWN), as already documented for equities. Momentum gains exclusively follow UP periods. In contrast, DOWN markets herald momentum losses. Importantly, this study links momentum gains to underpricing, as measured by low sentiment. In particular, the UP-market momentum gains are generated exclusively by momentum portfolios formed in periods of low sentiment. The DOWN-market reversal returns in low sentiment are even larger than the UP-market momentum gains. We also introduce a novel top-volume bond momentum strategy and show that it yields large and persistent unconditional profits.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2018.02.007
Volume
89
Pages
249-265
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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