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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 161 2024

CEO overconfidence and the choice of debt issuance

Li Ge1; Taher Jamil2; Jin Yu1

1 Monash University · 2 University of Exeter

Abstract

This paper examines how chief executive officer (CEO) overconfidence affects firms’ choice of corporate debt issuance. We find that firms with overconfident CEOs tend to issue more private debt, especially bank loans, than public bonds compared with firms with nonoverconfident CEOs. The effect of CEO overconfidence is more pronounced when default spreads are wide, when gross domestic product growth is slow, during recessions, and among firms that face high distress and cash flow risk. Furthermore, the relationship between CEO overconfidence and bank loan issuance depends on collateralization; however, our main finding is not driven by debt maturity. To alleviate endogeneity concerns, we investigate matched samples and a subsample with exogenous CEO turnover events and find supportive and statistically stronger results.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2024.107099
Volume
161
Pages
107099
Language
en
Sources
crossref openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib

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