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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 138 2022

Large dynamic covariance matrices: Enhancements based on intraday data

Gianluca De Nard; Robert F. Engle1; Olivier Ledoit2,3; Michael Wolf2

1 New York University · 2 University of Zurich · 3 Capital University

open access

Abstract

Multivariate GARCH models do not perform well in large dimensions due to the so-called curse of dimensionality. The recent DCC-NL model of Engle et al. (2019) is able to overcome this curse via nonlinear shrinkage estimation of the unconditional correlation matrix. In this paper, we show how performance can be increased further by using open/high/low/close (OHLC) price data instead of simply using daily returns. A key innovation, for the improved modeling of not only dynamic variances but also of dynamic correlations, is the concept of a regularized return, obtained from a volatility proxy in conjunction with a smoothed sign of the observed return.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2022.106426
Volume
138
Pages
106426
Language
en
Sources
crossref openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib

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