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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 149 2023

RIM-based value premium and factor pricing using value-price divergence

Lin William Cong1,2; Nathan Darden George3; Guojun Wang4

1 National Bureau of Economic Research · 2 Cornell University · 3 University of California, Berkeley · 4 Shanghai Normal University

Abstract

We document that value-to-price, the ratio of Residual-Income-Model-based valuation to market price, subsumes the power of book-to-market ratio and many other value or quality measures in predicting stock returns. Long-short value-to-price portfolios hedge against momentum, revitalize the seemingly missing value premium over past decades, and generate significant returns after adjusting for common factors. The value-price-divergence (VPD) factor constructed from the average returns of these portfolios within small and big stocks is not spanned by these known factors. Max Sharpe ratio and constrained R-squared tests reveal that VPD is a better substitute for the traditional value factor and that a four-factor model using the VPD, market, momentum, and size factors outperforms most extant benchmarks in explaining the cross-section of expected equity returns, including value-to-price portfolios as test assets. The findings remain robust under alternative specifications of equity cost of capital.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2023.106812
Volume
149
Pages
106812
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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