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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 33 No. 12 2009

Bank fragility, “money under the mattress”, and long-run growth: US evidence from the “perfect” Panic of 1893

Carlos D. Ramírez

Abstract

This paper examines how the US financial crisis of 1893 affected state output growth between 1900 and 1930. The results indicate that a 1% increase in bank instability reduced output growth by 2–5%. A comparison of Nebraska, which had one of the highest bank failure rates, with West Virginia, which did not experience a single bank failure, reveals that disintermediation affected growth through a portfolio change among savers: people simply stopped trusting banks. Time series evidence from newspapers indicates that articles containing the words “money hidden” significantly increase after banking crises, then slowly die out.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2009.05.020
Volume
33
Issue
12
Pages
2185-2198
Language
en
Sources
crossref openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib

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