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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 177 2025

Credit rating and stock return comovement

Jianfeng Shen1,2; Huiping Zhang3; Weiqi Zhang3

1 UNSW Sydney · 2 Department of Finance · 3 Independent Researcher, Singapore

open access

Abstract

Firms with similar credit ratings, particularly high-yield ones, exhibit strong comovement in stock returns . After a firm is downgraded to high-yield status, it comoves more with other high-yield firms and less with investment-grade ones, a pattern not fully explained by changes in fundamentals or other firm characteristics. We find evidence that suggests the investor clientele explanation for rating-related comovement, potentially arising from heterogeneous lottery preferences. High-yield-averse funds reduce their holdings of firms being downgraded to high-yield status, particularly those that are more lottery-like, much more significantly than high-yield-prone funds. Furthermore, a firm’s stock returns become sensitive to flows into high-yield-prone funds after being downgraded to high-yield status, consistent with the price impact of rating-based category investing.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107474
Volume
177
Pages
107474
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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