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Journal of Banking & Finance Vol. 178 2025

Trade liberalization and municipal financing costs

Chunbo Liu1; Liang Xu2; Liuming Yang3; Yang Zhou4

1 Shanghai International Studies University · 2 SKEMA Business School · 3 Chinese University of Hong Kong · 4 Wuhan University

Abstract

This study examines the effects of trade liberalization on municipal financing costs. Using the granting of permanent normal trade relations (PNTR) to China as an exogenous shock, we find that U.S. counties that are more exposed to trade liberalization issue bonds with significantly higher tax-adjusted yield spreads. Moreover, these counties pay higher gross spreads and are less likely to issue bonds after PNTR. We also show that secondary market yield spreads increase significantly in response to the U.S. granting of PNTR to China. In addition, we provide evidence that a reduction in debt serving capacity serves as a channel underlying the trade shock effects. Our findings highlight the costs of trade liberalization for public finance.

DOI
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2025.107524
Volume
178
Pages
107524
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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