← Search

Journal of Corporate Finance Vol. 17 No. 1 2011

In search of conclusive evidence: How to test for adjustment to target capital structure

Armen Hovakimian1; Guangzhong Li2

1 Baruch College · 2 Central University of Finance and Economics

Abstract

Simulation experiments show that both partial-adjustment and debt-equity choice models can generate spuriously significant estimates that are consistent with the hypothesis that firms have target debt ratios to which they periodically adjust. Regressions relying on full-sample fixed effects models of target leverage, in particular, produce results severely biased in favor of the target-adjustment hypothesis. Various target proxies and modifications to the standard methodologies are examined to identify partial-adjustment and debt-equity choice models that have power to reject the target-adjustment hypothesis. The resulting estimates of the speed of adjustment are in the range of five-eight percent per year.

DOI
10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2010.07.004
Volume
17
Issue
1
Pages
33-44
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

Cite