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Journal of Economic Literature Vol. 63 No. 1 2025

Local Projections

Òscar Jordà1; Alan M. Taylor2

1 Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco; Department of Economics, University of California, Davis; and CEPR. · 2 Columbia University, NBER, and CEPR

Abstract

A central question in applied research is to estimate the effect of an exogenous intervention or shock on an outcome. The intervention can affect the outcome and controls on impact and over time. Moreover, there can be subsequent feedback between outcomes, controls, and the intervention. Many of these interactions can be untangled using local projections. This method’s simplicity makes it a convenient and versatile tool in the empiricist’s kit, one that is generalizable to complex settings. This article reviews the state of the art for the practitioner and discusses best practices and possible extensions of local projections methods, along with their limitations.

DOI
10.1257/jel.20241521
Volume
63
Issue
1
Pages
59-110
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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