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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 110 No. 3 2013

Equity yields

Jules van Binsbergen; Wouter Hueskes1; Ralph Koijen2; Evert Vrugt3

1 Blenheim Capital Management BV, The Netherlands · 2 London Business School · 3 Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

Abstract

We study a new data set of dividend futures with maturities up to ten years across three world regions: the US, Europe, and Japan. We use these asset prices to construct equity yields, analogous to bond yields. We decompose the equity yields to obtain a term structure of expected dividend growth rates and a term structure of risk premia, which decomposes the equity risk premium by maturity. We find that the slope of the term structure of risk premia is pro-cyclical, whereas the slope of the term structure of expected dividend growth rates is counter-cyclical. The comovement of yields across regions is, on average, higher for long-maturity yields than for short-maturity yields, whereas the variation in this comovement is much higher for short-maturity yields.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.08.017
Volume
110
Issue
3
Pages
503-519
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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