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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 110 No. 2 2013

Stock returns and the Miller Modigliani valuation formula: Revisiting the Fama French analysis

Gil Aharoni; Bruce D. Grundy; Qi Zeng

The University of Melbourne

Abstract

Fama and French (2006) use the dividend-discount model to develop the role of expected profitability, expected investment, and the book-to-market ratio as predictors of stock returns. One reported empirical result is anomalous. The valuation model establishes that the comparative static relation between expected returns and expected investment is negative, yet it appears to be positive and insignificant. We show that the posited valuation relations apply at the firm level, and not at the per share level at which they were tested. Once the variables are measured at the firm level, all the Fama French predictions are validated.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.08.003
Volume
110
Issue
2
Pages
347-357
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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