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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 97 No. 1 2010

Returns of claims on the upside and the viability of U-shaped pricing kernels☆

Gurdip Bakshi1; Dilip B. Madan1; George Panayotov2

1 University of Maryland, College Park · 2 Georgetown University

Abstract

When the pricing kernel is U-shaped, then expected returns of claims with payout on the upside are negative for strikes beyond a threshold, determined by the slope of the U-shaped kernel in its increasing region, and have negative partial derivative with respect to strike in the increasing region of the kernel. Using returns of (i) S&P 500 index calls, (ii) calls on major international equity indexes, (iii) digital calls, (iv) upside variance contracts, and (v) a theoretical construct that we denote as kernel call, we find broad support for the implications of U-shaped pricing kernels. A possible theoretical reconciliation of our empirical findings is explored through a model that accommodates heterogeneity in beliefs about return outcomes and short-selling.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2010.03.009
Volume
97
Issue
1
Pages
130-154
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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