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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 160 2024

The credit supply channel of monetary policy tightening and its distributional impacts

Joshua Bosshardt1; Marco Di Maggio; Ali Kakhbod2; Amir Kermani2

1 Federal Housing Finance Agency, United States · 2 University of California, Berkeley

open access

Abstract

This paper studies how tightening monetary policy transmits to the economy through the mortgage market and sheds new light on the distributional consequences at both individual and regional levels. We specifically examine the sharp increase in mortgage interest rates during 2022 and 2023. We find that almost all of the decline in mortgages compared to prior years was concentrated in loans that would have had a debt-to-income (DTI) ratio above underwriting thresholds. These effects are even more pronounced for minority and middle-income borrowers. Additionally, regions more affected by the thresholds exhibited greater reductions in mortgage originations, house prices , and consumption.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2024.103914
Volume
160
Pages
103914
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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