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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 158 2024

The social signal

J. Anthony Cookson1; Runjing Lu2; William Mullins3; Marina Niessner4

1 University of Colorado Boulder · 2 University of Alberta · 3 University of California San Diego · 4 Indiana University

Abstract

We examine social media attention and sentiment from three major platforms: Twitter, StockTwits, and Seeking Alpha. We find that, even after controlling for firm disclosures and news, attention is highly correlated across platforms, but sentiment is not: its first principal component explains little more variation than purely idiosyncratic sentiment. Using market events, we attribute differences across platforms to differences in users (e.g., professionals versus novices) and differences in platform design (e.g., character limits in posts). We also find that sentiment and attention contain different return-relevant information. Sentiment predicts positive next-day returns, but attention predicts negative next-day returns. These results highlight the importance of considering both social media sentiment and attention, and of distinguishing between different investor social media platforms.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2024.103870
Volume
158
Pages
103870
Language
en
Sources
crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex

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