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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 130 No. 3 2018

Momentum in Imperial Russia

William N. Goetzmann1; Simon Huang2

1 Yale University · 2 University of Massachusetts Amherst

Abstract

Some of the leading theories of momentum have different empirical predictions that depend on market composition and structure. The institutional theory predicts lower momentum profits in markets with less agency. Behavioral theories predict lower profits in markets with more sophisticated investors. In this paper, we use a dataset from a major 19th century equity market to test these predictions. We find no evidence to support the institutional theory due to the lack of delegated management. We exploit a regulatory change in the middle of our sample period to test behavioral theories. We find evidence consistent with overreaction theories of momentum.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.07.008
Volume
130
Issue
3
Pages
579-591
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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