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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 28 No. 1-2 1990

Dividend yield and expected returns

William G. Christie

Vanderbilt University

Abstract

Previous research examining the relation between dividend yield and equity returns documents a U-shaped pattern arising from the positive CAPM-adjusted average excess return of zero-dividend firms. In contrast, this paper reports that zero-dividend firms earn negative average excess returns relative to firms of similar size. Despite the apparent conformity of these results to the predictions of after-tax asset pricing models, the negative size-adjusted excess returns cannot be drive solely by tax effects. These excess returns, which are concentrated in the initial zero-dividend years and approach - 1% per month, are attributed to possible dividend-expectation effects rather than taxes.

DOI
10.1016/0304-405x(90)90049-6
Volume
28
Issue
1-2
Pages
95-125
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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