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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 130 No. 3 2018

Government guarantees and the two-way feedback between banking and sovereign debt crises

Agnese Leonello

European Central Bank

Abstract

This paper studies the effects of government guarantees on the interconnection between banking and sovereign debt crises in a framework where both the banks and the government are fragile and the credibility and feasibility of the guarantees are determined endogenously. The analysis delivers some new results on the role of guarantees in the bank-sovereign nexus. First, guarantees emerge as a key channel linking banks’ and sovereign stability, even in the absence of banks’ holdings of sovereign bonds. Second, depending on the specific characteristics of the economy and the nature of banking crises, an increase in the size of guarantees can be beneficial for the bank-sovereign nexus in that it enhances financial stability without undermining sovereign solvency.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.04.003
Volume
130
Issue
3
Pages
592-619
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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