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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 106 No. 1 2012

The effect of reference point prices on mergers and acquisitions

Malcolm Baker1; Xin Pan2; Jeffrey Wurgler3

1 Harvard Business School and NBER, United States · 2 Harvard University Press · 3 NYU Stern School of Business and NBER, United States

open access

Abstract

Prior stock price peaks of targets affect several aspects of merger and acquisition activity. Offer prices are biased toward recent peak prices although they are economically unremarkable. An offer's probability of acceptance jumps discontinuously when it exceeds a peak price. Conversely, bidder shareholders react more negatively as the offer price is influenced upward toward a peak. Merger waves occur when high returns on the market and likely targets make it easier for bidders to offer a peak price. Parties thus appear to use recent peaks as reference points or anchors to simplify the complex tasks of valuation and negotiation.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2012.04.010
Volume
106
Issue
1
Pages
49-71
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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