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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 119 No. 1 2016

Target revaluation after failed takeover attempts: Cash versus stock

Ulrike Malmendier1; Marcus M. Opp1; Farzad Saidi2

1 University of California, Berkeley · 2 University of Cambridge

open access

Abstract

Cash- and stock-financed takeover bids induce strikingly different target revaluations. We exploit detailed data on unsuccessful takeover bids between 1980 and 2008, and we show that targets of cash offers are revalued on average by +15% after deal failure, whereas stock targets return to their pre-announcement levels. The differences in revaluation do not revert over longer horizons. We find no evidence that future takeover activities or operational changes explain these differences. While the targets of failed cash and stock offers are both more likely to be acquired over the following eight years than matched control firms, no differences exist between cash and stock targets, either in the timing or in the value of future offers. Similarly, we cannot detect differential operational policies following the failed bid. Our results are most consistent with cash bids revealing prior undervaluation of the target. We reconcile our findings with the opposite conclusion in earlier literature (Bradley, Desai, and Kim, 1983) by identifying a look-ahead bias built into their sample construction.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.08.013
Volume
119
Issue
1
Pages
92-106
Language
en
Sources
crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex

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