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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 123 No. 2 2017

Leverage and strategic preemption: Lessons from entry plans and incumbent investments

J. Anthony Cookson

University of Colorado Boulder

Abstract

This paper empirically investigates the effect of leverage on strategic preemption. Using new data on entry plans and incumbent investments from the American casino industry, I find that high leverage prevents incumbents from responding to entry threats. Facing the same set of entry plans, low-leverage incumbents expand physical capacity (by 30%), whereas high-leverage incumbents do not. This difference in investment matters because capacity installations preempt eventual entry. Stock market reactions to withdrawn plans imply that effective preemption increases incumbent firm value by 5%. My findings suggest that leverage matters for industry composition, not just firm-level investment.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2016.11.005
Volume
123
Issue
2
Pages
292-312
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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