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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 107 No. 2 2013

Growth to value: Option exercise and the cross section of equity returns

Hengjie Ai1; Dana Kiku2

1 University of Minnesota · 2 University of Pennsylvania

Abstract

We propose a general equilibrium model to study the link between the cross section of expected returns and book-to-market characteristics. We model two primitive assets: value assets and growth assets that are options on assets in place. The cost of option exercise, which is endogenously determined in equilibrium, is highly procyclical and acts as a hedge against risks in assets in place. Consequently, growth options are less risky than value assets, and the model features a value premium. Our model incorporates long-run risks in aggregate consumption and replicates the empirical failure of the conditional capital asset pricing model (CAPM) prediction. The model also quantitatively accounts for the pattern in mean returns on book-to-market sorted portfolios, the magnitude of the CAPM-alphas, and other stylized features of the cross-sectional data.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2012.08.009
Volume
107
Issue
2
Pages
325-349
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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