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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 147 No. 3 2023

Financial markets and unemployment

Tommaso Monacelli1; Vincenzo Quadrini2,3; Antonella Trigari1

1 Bocconi University · 2 University of Southern California · 3 California Southern University

Abstract

We study the importance of financial markets for (un)employment fluctuations in a model with matching frictions where firms borrow under limited enforcement. Borrowing affects employment through a ‘debt bargaining channel’: higher debt improves the bargaining position of employers with workers and increases the incentive to hire. We estimate the model structurally and find that the debt bargaining channel accounts for 26 percent of unemployment fluctuations. We find empirical support for the channel at the micro level using firm level data from Compustat.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2023.01.001
Volume
147
Issue
3
Pages
596-626
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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