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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 140 No. 2 2021

Competition, profitability, and discount rates

Winston Wei Dou1; Yan Ji2; Wei Wu3

1 University of Pennsylvania · 2 Hong Kong University of Science and Technology · 3 Texas A&M University

Abstract

We build an asset-pricing model with dynamic strategic competition to explain the strong joint fluctuations in aggregate discount rates, competition intensity, profitability, and asset prices. Product market competition endogenously intensifies as discount rates rise, because firms compete more aggressively for current cash flows by undercutting each other as the value of future cooperation decreases. In industries with a lower turnover rate of market leaders, firms’ profit margins tend to be higher yet more exposed to discount-rate fluctuations, thereby generating the gross profitability premium. We exploit large tariff cuts to identify exogenous variation in market structure to test the core mechanism directly.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.12.013
Volume
140
Issue
2
Pages
582-620
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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