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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 145 No. 3 2022

The cross-section of investment and profitability: Implications for asset pricing

Mete Kilic; Louis Yang1; Miao Ben Zhang2

1 Vital Strategies · 2 University of Southern California

Abstract

Asset pricing predictions from the investment CAPM depend on the cross-sectional relation between investment and profitability. In samples of U.S. stocks featuring high cross-sectional investment-profitability correlation, both investment and profitability premiums are weak. Consistent with the conditional predictions from the investment CAPM, triple sorts on size, investment, and profitability as in Hou et al. (2015)’s q-factors resurrect the premiums in the high-correlation samples. We find similar results using cash-based profitability, consistent with the dynamic investment CAPM. Our work has important implications for constructing asset pricing factors and interpreting out-of-sample asset pricing test results, in particular the insignificance of historical investment and profitability premiums.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2022.06.003
Volume
145
Issue
3
Pages
706-724
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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