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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 129 No. 1 2018

Downside risks and the cross-section of asset returns

Adam Farago; Roméo Tédongap1,2

1 CY Cergy Paris Université · 2 École Supérieure des Sciences Économiques et Commerciales

Abstract

In an intertemporal equilibrium asset pricing model featuring disappointment aversion and changing macroeconomic uncertainty, we show that besides the market return and market volatility, three disappointment-related factors are also priced: a downstate factor, a market downside factor, and a volatility downside factor. We find that expected returns on various asset classes reflect premiums for bearing undesirable exposures to these factors. The signs of estimated risk premiums are consistent with the theoretical predictions. Our most general, five-factor model is very successful in jointly pricing stock, option, and currency portfolios, and provides considerable improvement over nested specifications previously discussed in the literature.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.03.010
Volume
129
Issue
1
Pages
69-86
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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