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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 138 No. 2 2020

Credit migration and covered interest rate parity

Gordon Y. Liao1,2

1 Federal Reserve · 2 Federal Reserve Board of Governors

open access

Abstract

This paper examines the joint determination of deviations in long-term covered interest rate parity and differences in the credit spread of bonds of similar risk but different currency denomination. These two pricing anomalies are highly aligned in both the time series and the cross-section of currencies. The sum of these two pricing deviations—the corporate basis—represents the currency-hedged borrowing cost difference between currency regions and explains up to a third of the variation in the aggregate corporate debt issuance flow. I show that arbitrage aimed at exploiting one type of security anomaly can give rise to the other.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.06.002
Volume
138
Issue
2
Pages
504-525
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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