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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 128 No. 3 2018

Cost of experimentation and the evolution of venture capital

Michael Ewens1,2; Ramana Nanda3,4; Matthew Rhodes–Kropf

1 California Institute of Technology · 2 Baxter (United States) · 3 Dana-Farber/Harvard Cancer Center · 4 Harvard University

Abstract

We study how technological shocks to the cost of starting new businesses have led the venture capital model to adapt in fundamental ways over the prior decade. We both document and provide a framework to understand the changes in the investment strategy of venture capitalists (VCs) in recent years – an increased prevalence of a “spray and pray” investment approach – where investors provide a little funding and limited governance to an increased number of startups that they are more likely to abandon, but where initial experiments significantly inform beliefs about the future potential of the venture. This adaptation and related entry by new financial intermediaries has led to a disproportionate rise in innovations where information on future prospects is revealed quickly and cheaply, and reduced the relative share of innovation in complex technologies where initial experiments cost more and reveal less.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2018.03.001
Volume
128
Issue
3
Pages
422-442
Language
en
Sources
crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex

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