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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 122 No. 3 2016

Cyclicality, performance measurement, and cash flow liquidity in private equity

David T. Robinson1,2; Berk A. Sensoy3,4

1 Duke University · 2 National Bureau of Economic Research · 3 Fisher College · 4 The Ohio State University

Abstract

We study the liquidity properties of private equity cash flows using data from 837 buyout and venture capital funds from 1984 to 2010. Most cash flow variation at a point in time is diversifiable — either idiosyncratic to a given fund or explained by the fund’s age. Both capital calls and distributions also have a procyclical systematic component. Distributions are more sensitive than calls, implying procyclical aggregate net cash flows. A consequence is that the well-known finding that funds raised in hot markets underperform in absolute terms is sharply attenuated when comparing to public equities. Consistent with a liquidity premium for calling capital in bad times, we find that funds with a relatively high propensity to do so perform better in both absolute and relative terms. Venture capital cash flows and performance are considerably more cyclical than buyout, and the links between cyclical cash flows and performance are likewise stronger.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2016.09.008
Volume
122
Issue
3
Pages
521-543
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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