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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 159 2024

The effects of policy interventions to limit illegal money lending

Kaiwen Leong1; Huailu Li2,3; Nicola Pavanini4,5; Christoph Walsh4,5

1 Griffith University · 2 Fudan University · 3 Shanghai University of International Business and Economics · 4 Tilburg University · 5 Centre for Economic Policy Research

open access

Abstract

We estimate a structural model of borrowing and lending in the illegal money lending market using a unique panel survey of 1,090 borrowers taking out 11,032 loans from loan sharks. We use the model to evaluate the effects of interventions aimed at limiting this market. We find that an enforcement crackdown that occurred during our sample period increased lenders’ unit cost of harassment and interest rates, while lowering volume of loans, lender profits and borrower welfare. Policies removing borrowers in the middle of the repayment ability distribution, reducing gambling or reducing time discounting are also effective at lowering lender profitability.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2024.103894
Volume
159
Pages
103894
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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