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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 14 No. 3 1985

Dividend yields and stock returns: Implications of abnormal January returns

D Keim

University of Pennsylvania

Abstract

This study examines the empirical relation between stock returns and (long-run) dividend yields. The findings show that much of the phenomenon is due to a nonlinear relation between dividend yields and returns in January. Regression coefficients on dividend yields, which some models predict should be non-zero due to differential taxation of dividends and capital gains, exhibit a significant January seasonal, even when controlling for size. This finding is significant since there are no provisions in the after-tax asset pricing models that predict the tax differential is more important in January than in other months.

DOI
10.1016/0304-405x(85)90009-1
Volume
14
Issue
3
Pages
473-489
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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