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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 41 No. 3 1996

Commonality in the determinants of expected stock returns

Robert A. Haugen1; Nardin L. Baker2

1 University of California, Irvine · 2 Otter Tail Corporation (United States)

Abstract

We find that the determinants of the cross-section of expected stock returns are stable in their identity and influence from period to period and from country to country. Out-of-sample predictions of expected return are strongly and consistently accurate. Two findings distinguish this paper from others in the contemporary literature: First, stocks with higher expected and realized rates of return are unambiguously lower in risk than stocks with lower returns. Second, the important determinants of expected stock returns are strikingly common to the major equity markets of the world. Overall, the results seem to reveal a major failure in the Efficient Markets Hypothesis.

DOI
10.1016/0304-405x(95)00868-f
Volume
41
Issue
3
Pages
401-439
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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