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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 97 No. 2 2010

Payoff complementarities and financial fragility: Evidence from mutual fund outflows

Qi Chen1; Itay Goldstein2; Wei Jiang3,4

1 Duke University · 2 University of Pennsylvania · 3 Columbia University · 4 The Graduate Center, CUNY

Abstract

The paper provides empirical evidence that strategic complementarities among investors generate fragility in financial markets. Analyzing mutual fund data, we find that, consistent with a theoretical model, funds with illiquid assets (where complementarities are stronger) exhibit stronger sensitivity of outflows to bad past performance than funds with liquid assets. We also find that this pattern disappears in funds where the shareholder base is composed mostly of large investors. We present further evidence that these results are not attributable to alternative explanations based on the informativeness of past performance or on clientele effects. We analyze the implications for funds’ performance and policies.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2010.03.016
Volume
97
Issue
2
Pages
239-262
Language
en
Sources
crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex

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