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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 85 No. 3 2007

Order flow, dealer profitability, and price formation

Peter Locke1; Zhan Onayev2

1 Neeley School of Business, TCU, Fort Worth, TX 76129, USA · 2 State Street (United States)

Abstract

We analyze the dynamics of the S&P 500 futures price, finding both short- and long-run effects of order flow on price. While price moves strongly with the order flow in the short-run, the long-run impact is slightly negative, attributable to costly slippage from a hedging propensity in futures markets. We find strong evidence of a state dependence in the relation between price and order flow, using both volume and floor trader income measures as states. We also find that both the long- and short-run impacts of order flow are greater when dealer income is higher.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2006.05.010
Volume
85
Issue
3
Pages
857-887
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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