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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 126 No. 1 2017

Intermediary asset pricing: New evidence from many asset classes

Zhiguo He1; Bryan Kelly1; Asaf Manela2

1 University of Chicago · 2 Washington University, Olin Business School, One Brookings Dr, St. Louis, MO 63130, USA

open access

Abstract

We find that shocks to the equity capital ratio of financial intermediaries—Primary Dealer counterparties of the New York Federal Reserve—possess significant explanatory power for cross-sectional variation in expected returns. This is true not only for commonly studied equity and government bond market portfolios, but also for other more sophisticated asset classes such as corporate and sovereign bonds, derivatives, commodities, and currencies. Our intermediary capital risk factor is strongly procyclical, implying countercyclical intermediary leverage. The price of risk for intermediary capital shocks is consistently positive and of similar magnitude when estimated separately for individual asset classes, suggesting that financial intermediaries are marginal investors in many markets and hence key to understanding asset prices.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2017.08.002
Volume
126
Issue
1
Pages
1-35
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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