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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 153 2024

Disagreement, information quality and asset prices

Costas Xiouros1; Fernando Zapatero2

1 BI Norwegian Business School · 2 Boston University

Abstract

We present an analytical solution for a pure exchange economy featuring a continuum of agents with disagreement, time-varying information quality, and reference-dependent preferences. Our general equilibrium model exhibits stationary dynamics. By examining the implications of the model, we find that the commonly studied asset pricing channels of disagreement have limited quantitative significance. On the other hand, variations in information quality, which affect disagreement levels, lead to substantial excess stock price volatility. This finding contributes significantly to explaining the equity premium and sheds light on empirical relationships between forecast dispersion and asset prices, the upward sloping real yield curve, and long-term yield movements.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2023.103774
Volume
153
Pages
103774
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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