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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 169 2025

Collateral value uncertainty and mortgage credit provision

Erica Xuewei Jiang1; Anthony Lee Zhang2

1 University of Southern California · 2 University of Chicago

Abstract

Houses with higher value uncertainty receive less mortgage credit: mortgages backed by these houses are more likely to be rejected, have higher interest rates, and have lower loan-to-price ratios. The relationship between house value uncertainty and credit availability is driven partly by a classic channel in which uncertainty lowers debt recovery rates, and partly by a novel channel where more uncertain appraisals make regulatory constraints on loan size more likely to bind. We build a structural model to quantify the effects of each channel, and show how a shift toward computerized asset appraisals could influence credit access.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2025.104054
Volume
169
Pages
104054
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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