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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 35 No. 2 1994

Implied volatility functions in arbitrage-free term structure models

Kaushik I. Amin1; A. J. Morton2

1 University of Michigan–Ann Arbor · 2 University of Illinois Chicago

open access

Abstract

We test six term structure models in the Heath, Jarrow, and Morton (1992) class using Eurodollar futures and options data from 1987∗1992. We study the time series of implied interest rate volatilities from these models. Using one-day lagged implied volatilities, our one-and two-parameter models simultaneously price an average of 18.5 options each day with an average absolute error of one-and-a-half to two basis points. Although the models fit well, we document systematic strike- price and time-to-maturity biases for all models. We also implement simple trading strategies to test whether the models identify genuine biases.

DOI
10.1016/0304-405x(94)90002-7
Volume
35
Issue
2
Pages
141-180
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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