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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 138 No. 1 2020

On the performance of volatility-managed portfolios

Scott Cederburg1; Michael S. O’Doherty2,3; Feifei Wang4; Xuemin (Sterling) Yan5

1 University of Arizona · 2 Cornell University · 3 University of Missouri · 4 Miami University · 5 Lehigh University

Abstract

Using a comprehensive set of 103 equity strategies, we analyze the value of volatility-managed portfolios for real-time investors. Volatility-managed portfolios do not systematically outperform their corresponding unmanaged portfolios in direct comparisons. Consistent with Moreira and Muir (2017), volatility-managed portfolios tend to exhibit significantly positive alphas in spanning regressions. However, the trading strategies implied by these regressions are not implementable in real time, and reasonable out-of-sample versions generally earn lower certainty equivalent returns and Sharpe ratios than do simple investments in the original, unmanaged portfolios. This poor out-of-sample performance for volatility-managed portfolios stems primarily from structural instability in the underlying spanning regressions.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2020.04.015
Volume
138
Issue
1
Pages
95-117
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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