Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 119 No. 2 2016
Can analysts pick stocks for the long-run?
Abstract
This paper examines post-revision return drift, or PRD, following analysts’ revisions of their stock recommendations. PRD refers to the finding that the analysts’ recommendation changes predict future long-term returns in the same direction as the change (i.e., upgrades are followed by positive returns, and downgrades are followed by negative returns). During the high-frequency algorithmic trading period of 2003–2010, average PRD is no longer significantly different from zero. The new findings agree with improved market efficiency after declines in real trading cost inefficiencies. They are consistent with a reduced information production role for analysts in the supercomputer era.
- DOI
- 10.1016/j.jfineco.2015.09.004
- Volume
- 119
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 371-398
- Language
- en
- Sources
- bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref