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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 154 2024

Is it alpha or beta? Decomposing hedge fund returns when models are misspecified

David Ardia1,2; Laurent Barras3; Patrick Gagliardini4,5; Olivier Scaillet6,4

1 HEC Montréal · 2 Group for Research in Decision Analysis · 3 University of Luxembourg · 4 Swiss Finance Institute · 5 Università della Svizzera italiana · 6 University of Geneva

open access

Abstract

We develop a novel approach to separate alpha and beta under model misspecification. It comes with formal tests to identify less misspecified models and sharpen the return decomposition of individual funds. Our hedge fund analysis reveals that: (i) prominent models are as misspecified as the CAPM, (ii) several factors (time-series momentum, variance, carry) capture alternative strategies and lower performance in all investment categories, (iii) fund heterogeneity in alpha and beta is large—an important result for fund selection and models of active management, (iv) performance is increasingly similar to mutual funds, (v) fund valuation is sensitive to investor sophistication.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2024.103805
Volume
154
Pages
103805
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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