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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 121 No. 1 2016

Performance measurement with selectivity, market and volatility timing

Wayne E. Ferson1,2; Haitao Mo3

1 National Bureau of Economic Research · 2 University of Southern California · 3 Louisiana State University

Abstract

The performance of portfolio managers depends on market timing, volatility timing, and security selection. We develop holdings-based performance measures that adjust for risk using stochastic discount factors, display all three components in a consistent framework, and avoid strong assumptions about managers’ behavior. Previous models leave out some of the components of performance, and correcting for this we deliver better measures of selectivity. Sorting stocks held by funds on selectivity produces a quintile spread in four-factor alphas greater than 2.5% per year before costs and more than 1.7% greater than found using the Daniel, Grinblatt, Titman, and Wermers (1997) measure.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2016.02.012
Volume
121
Issue
1
Pages
93-110
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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