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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 143 No. 1 2022

Disappearing and reappearing dividends

Roni Michaely1; Amani Moin2

1 University of Hong Kong · 2 Commodity Futures Trading Commission

Abstract

We decompose the decrease (1970s–2000) and subsequent recovery (2000–2018) in the fraction of dividend-paying firms. Changes in firm characteristics and proclivity to pay (probability of paying dividends conditional on characteristics) each drive half of the dividend disappearance. A higher proclivity drives 82% of the dividend reappearance. The remaining 18% is driven by a single characteristic: reduced earnings volatility. Changing characteristics are associated with low-profitability, high-earnings-volatility firms. Changing proclivity is associated with stable, profitable firms. Rather than dividend initiations or omissions, newly listed and delisted firms drive trends. Finally, the magnitude and duration of disappearing total payout is substantially smaller than that of dividends, indicating some substitution between dividends and repurchases.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.06.029
Volume
143
Issue
1
Pages
207-226
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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