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Journal of Financial Economics Vol. 108 No. 3 2013

The cross section of conditional mutual fund performance in European stock markets

Ayelen Banegas1,2; Ben Gillen3; Allan Timmermann4; Russ Wermers5

1 Federal Reserve · 2 Federal Reserve Board of Governors · 3 California Institute of Technology · 4 University of California San Diego · 5 University of Maryland, College Park

Abstract

This paper implements strategies that use macroeconomic variables to select European equity mutual funds, including Pan-European, country, and sector funds. We find that several macro-variables are useful in locating funds with future outperformance and that country-specific mutual funds provide the best opportunities for fund rotation strategies using macroeconomic information. Specifically, our baseline long-only strategies that exploit time-varying predictability provide four-factor alphas of 12–13% per year over the 1993–2008 period. Our study provides new evidence on the skills of local versus Pan-European asset managers, as well as how macroeconomic information can be used to locate and time these local fund manager skills.

DOI
10.1016/j.jfineco.2013.01.008
Volume
108
Issue
3
Pages
699-726
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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